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Is Tesla Stock a Buy?


Publication date: 30.08.2024


The Story Behind Tesla


Tesla, Inc., founded in 2003, is a leading electric vehicle (EV) and renewable energy company. Renowned for its innovative electric cars like the Model S, Model 3, Model X, and Model Y, Tesla has established itself as a major player in the sustainable transportation market. The company is operating in technology and electronic industry, which is characterized by rapid advancements and high competition. After achieving financial success, marked by consistent profitability, inclusion in the S&P 500, and substantial growth in market valuation, Tesla now faces the challenge of sustaining its market position in the increasingly competitive industry.



Tesla’s Recent Financial Underperformance


Tesla's financial performance in recent quarters has raised concerns among investors. The company’s Q2 2024 financial report, released on July 22nd, highlighted several issues.

 

  • REVENUE: Tesla achieved a 2% year-over-year (YoY) increase in total revenue, reaching $25.5 billion. However, automotive revenues, which are a significant part of the business, declined by 7% YoY to $19.87 billion.

  • NET INCOME: The company's net income was $1.48 billion, representing a substantial decline of 45% compared to Q2 2023. This sharp decline in net income is driven by increased operational expenses and decline in vehicle sales.

  • PROFIT MARGIN: Tesla’s profit margin fell to 5.8%, down from 11% in the same quarter of the previous year. This decrease is attributed to higher expenses, such as AI projects and restructuring charges.

  • EARNINGS PER SHARE: The EPS dropped to $0.46, down from $0.85 in Q2 2023. This reduction reflects the overall drop in net income and highlights the impact of increased expenses and lower revenues on shareholder returns.


The Tesla’s financial troubles had also a significant impact on its market performance, underscoring the impact of investor confidence and financial stability on stock value.

 

  • STOCK PRICE REACTION: The substantial decline in net income and EPS led to a decrease in Tesla's stock price closing down 12% on 22nd July at $215.99.

  • INVESTOR SENTIMENT: Investor confidence plummeted, with growing concerns about Tesla's ability to maintain its market position with rising competition and operational issues.

  • MARKET VOLATILITY: Tesla’s stock decline contributed to broader fluctuations within the tech and EV sectors, with observed volatility rising by approximately 20-30% compared to the pre-earnings period.

 

Is Tesla Facing Risks in the EV Industry?


The financial problems that Tesla is currently facing are the result of several key factors. One significant issue is the decline in consumer demand for vehicles. This slowdown, influenced by economic uncertainties, high vehicle prices, and shifting consumer preferences, has led to a 4.8 percent reduction in sales and a 14 percent production decline in Q2 2024.


Additionally, the increase in competition within the EV market is posing a substantial risk. As new entrants and established automakers expand their electric vehicle offerings, Tesla faces heightened pressure to maintain its market share. According to Cox Automotive, the company experienced a significant decline in its share of electric vehicle sales in the United States, falling below 50 percent in the Q2 2024.

 

What are Tesla’s Future Plans?


Tesla is focusing on several key areas to address current challenges and drive future growth. One major initiative is the expansion of its product lines. The company is developing new models to diversify its offerings and appeal to a broader range of consumers. However, the main focus lies in offering more affordable electric vehicles. Tesla aims to incorporate cost-saving technologies to achieve more than 50% growth over 2023 production before investing in new manufacturing lines.


Furthermore, the company is investing heavily in AI-driven autonomous driving technology. Tesla wants to introduce Robotaxi services as a part of its transformation into a leader in next-generation transportation. To support this initiative, Tesla spent $600 million during the past three months on AI Research and Development. This spending underscores the company's commitment to enter the ride-hailing sector and compete with other industry giants like Uber or Lyft.



Is Tesla Worth Investing?


Investing in Tesla offers both opportunities and risks. Recent financial struggles and increasing competition raise concerns about its short-term growth. However, Tesla’s significant investment in AI-driven autonomous technology and its push into new markets, like driverless taxis and robotics, present strong long-term potential. However, the 40% jump in Tesla shares in June reflects investor optimism about these transformative technologies. As Paul Marino of GraniteShares points out, "AI and robotaxi is such a huge opportunity over the next two, three, five years." For long-term investors who believe in Tesla's vision, the potential rewards may outweigh current risks.


 

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